Real-time on-chain data shows that the current TPS of the Solana network remains at 6,500 transactions per second (with a peak of up to 65,000), and the average transaction fee in Q2 2025 is 0.0005 SOL (approximately 0.07 Canadian dollars). These fundamental performance indicators directly affect the long-term value judgment of SOL. When analyzing the weekly chart of sol chart, the primary focus should be on the trend of the total value Locked in the ecosystem (TVL). According to DeFiLlama’s statistics, the TVL of DeFi protocols on the current SOL chain has reached 15.8 billion US dollars, an increase of 220% compared to Q1 2024. Among them, Jito’s liquid staking accounts for 34% (approximately 53 million SOL), and this increase in capital density has reduced the annual volatility of SOL/ USD from 82% to 57%.
The key moving averages provide strategic references. On the weekly chart, the 50-week moving average (110 Canadian dollars) and the 200-week moving average (72 Canadian dollars) form a golden cross. The average return rate over 12 months after three similar patterns in history reached 285%. The current SOL relative Strength Index (weekly RSI 62) is at the upper edge of the neutral range. If it breaks through the 70 threshold, an overbought signal will be triggered. At this point, the trading volume should be combined for verification – the average weekly trading volume of the SOL/USDT trading pair over the past 10 years is 2.8 billion US dollars, which is 47% higher than the average annual level. In July 2025, the large-scale market-making behavior of Jump Trading led to a single-day price-volume deviation value of 3.7 standard deviations. Such institutional operations usually form obvious support/resistance levels in the sol chart.
The ecological development indicators need to be quantitatively interpreted. The activation rate of Solana mobile Saga II reached 93% (with an average of 4.7 on-chain interactions per day), driving the weekly growth of new addresses to maintain a rate of 17.3%. According to the audit report of the Solana Foundation, the current number of validation nodes is 2,890 (an increase of 48% compared to 2023), with an annualized staking yield of 5.8% and a staking rate of 78.3%. The key verification lies in the NFT market data: The Tensor platform shows that the floor price of the blue-chip project Mad Lads is 30 SOL, and the annual holder retention rate is 81%, proving that the actual ecological stickiness is stronger than that of most competing chains. However, it is necessary to be vigilant that the FTX liquidation event in 2024 once led to a single-day selling pressure of 350 million US dollars on SOL (accounting for 7.2% of the circulating volume at that time).
The long-term holding strategy requires a combination of technical analysis and fundamental analysis. The on-chain cost basis distribution chart reveals that 63% of the addresses are currently profitable (the break-even point is around 84 Canadian dollars), while the historical top drawdown data is worth noting: The maximum drawdown of SOL occurred in 2022, reaching 94.7%, and in 2024, the drawdown depth was 41.2%, both significantly higher than the 53% and 37% drawdowns of Bitcoin. The risk control model suggests adopting a three-tier position building method: Build a 30% position when the key resistance level of 130 Canadian dollars is broken through, increase the position by 50% when it rebounds to 98 Canadian dollars (the 120-day moving average), and in extreme cases, deploy the remaining 20% when it drops to the margin profit and loss point of 74 Canadian dollars. Backtesting of the Valkyrie fund indicates that this strategy kept slippage within 6.8% during the 2023-2025 cycle.